Classification Insights

Decision-tree model performance and predictor importance for CSIS service indicators.

Awareness
Avg Accuracy
55.3%
Avg Precision
74.8%
Avg Recall
62.1%
Avg F1
65.7%
Avg ROC AUC
51.7%

Top Predictors

Model Interpretation

Values summarize saved decision-tree classification outputs. Feature importance indicates which respondent traits or cluster dimensions were most useful for predicting the selected service-stage indicators.
  • ChildandYouthWelfareProgram
    MCA Dim1
    0.4192
  • ChildandYouthWelfareProgram
    MCA Dim2
    0.33
  • ChildandYouthWelfareProgram
    Cluster 3
    0.0895
  • Women’s Welfare Program
    MCA Dim2
    0.4059
  • Women’s Welfare Program
    MCA Dim1
    0.3347
  • Women’s Welfare Program
    A5 College Undergrad
    0.0701
  • PersonswithDisabilities (PWD)Welfare Program
    MCA Dim1
    0.4508
  • PersonswithDisabilities (PWD)Welfare Program
    MCA Dim2
    0.3505

Simplified Decision Tree Explorer

The simplified tree uses feature selection first: top predictors are selected from feature importance, then a smaller decision tree is retrained with limited depth for easier interpretation.

Current tree: F1_FSSi - ChildandYouthWelfareProgram

MCA Dim1 MCA Dim2 MCACluster A5 A1
Simplified decision tree visualization
|--- Dim2 <= -1.14
|   |--- Dim2 <= -1.19
|   |   |--- Dim1 <= -0.61
|   |   |   |--- class: Aware
|   |   |--- Dim1 >  -0.61
|   |   |   |--- class: Not Aware
|   |--- Dim2 >  -1.19
|   |   |--- Dim1 <= -0.88
|   |   |   |--- class: Aware
|   |   |--- Dim1 >  -0.88
|   |   |   |--- class: Aware
|--- Dim2 >  -1.14
|   |--- MCACluster_2 <= 0.50
|   |   |--- Dim1 <= -0.64
|   |   |   |--- class: Aware
|   |   |--- Dim1 >  -0.64
|   |   |   |--- class: Not Aware
|   |--- MCACluster_2 >  0.50
|   |   |--- Dim2 <= 1.51
|   |   |   |--- class: Aware
|   |   |--- Dim2 >  1.51
|   |   |   |--- class: Not Aware
Gini Split Diagnostics
Node Type Rule Gini Samples Not Aware Aware Prediction
0 Split Dim2 <= -1.140 0.5 4350 0.5 0.5 Aware
1 Split Dim2 <= -1.193 0.4881 961 0.4 0.6 Aware
2 Split Dim1 <= -0.614 0.4972 761 0.5 0.5 Aware
3 Leaf Prediction 0.4708 334 0.4 0.6 Aware
4 Leaf Prediction 0.4994 427 0.5 0.5 Not Aware
5 Split Dim1 <= -0.885 0.3374 200 0.2 0.8 Aware
6 Leaf Prediction 0.0 45 0.0 1.0 Aware
7 Leaf Prediction 0.3877 155 0.3 0.7 Aware
8 Split MCACluster_2 <= 0.500 0.4993 3389 0.5 0.5 Not Aware
9 Split Dim1 <= -0.641 0.4919 1780 0.6 0.4 Not Aware
10 Leaf Prediction 0.4997 418 0.5 0.5 Aware
11 Leaf Prediction 0.4862 1362 0.6 0.4 Not Aware
12 Split Dim2 <= 1.512 0.497 1609 0.5 0.5 Aware
13 Leaf Prediction 0.4955 1580 0.5 0.5 Aware
14 Leaf Prediction 0.383 29 0.7 0.3 Not Aware
Show technical full tree
|--- Dim1 <= 1.28
|   |--- MCACluster_3 <= 0.50
|   |   |--- A1_Boarder <= 0.50
|   |   |   |--- Dim1 <= -0.24
|   |   |   |   |--- Dim2 <= -1.13
|   |   |   |   |   |--- Dim1 <= -0.70
|   |   |   |   |   |   |--- class: Aware
|   |   |   |   |   |--- Dim1 >  -0.70
|   |   |   |   |   |   |--- class: Aware
|   |   |   |   |--- Dim2 >  -1.13
|   |   |   |   |   |--- Dim2 <= -1.12
|   |   |   |   |   |   |--- class: Not Aware
|   |   |   |   |   |--- Dim2 >  -1.12
|   |   |   |   |   |   |--- class: Not Aware
|   |   |   |--- Dim1 >  -0.24
|   |   |   |   |--- Dim1 <= -0.22
|   |   |   |   |   |--- class: Aware
|   |   |   |   |--- Dim1 >  -0.22
|   |   |   |   |   |--- Dim2 <= 1.38
|   |   |   |   |   |   |--- class: Aware
|   |   |   |   |   |--- Dim2 >  1.38
|   |   |   |   |   |   |--- class: Not Aware
|   |   |--- A1_Boarder >  0.50
|   |   |   |--- class: Not Aware
|   |--- MCACluster_3 >  0.50
|   |   |--- Dim2 <= -0.35
|   |   |   |--- class: Aware
|   |   |--- Dim2 >  -0.35
|   |   |   |--- Dim1 <= 0.04
|   |   |   |   |--- Dim1 <= -0.18
|   |   |   |   |   |--- A1_Spouse/ Partner <= 0.50
|   |   |   |   |   |   |--- class: Not Aware
|   |   |   |   |   |--- A1_Spouse/ Partner >  0.50
|   |   |   |   |   |   |--- class: Aware
|   |   |   |   |--- Dim1 >  -0.18
|   |   |   |   |   |--- A5_College Undergrad <= 0.50
|   |   |   |   |   |   |--- class: Not Aware
|   |   |   |   |   |--- A5_College Undergrad >  0.50
|   |   |   |   |   |   |--- class: Not Aware
|   |   |   |--- Dim1 >  0.04
|   |   |   |   |--- class: Aware
|--- Dim1 >  1.28
|   |--- Dim2 <= -1.16
|   |   |--- Dim2 <= -1.49
|   |   |   |--- class: Aware
|   |   |--- Dim2 >  -1.49
|   |   |   |--- class: Aware
|   |--- Dim2 >  -1.16
|   |   |--- Dim1 <= 1.81
|   |   |   |--- A5_ Hi-Sch Undergraduate <= 0.50
|   |   |   |   |--- Dim2 <= -0.56
|   |   |   |   |   |--- class: Not Aware
|   |   |   |   |--- Dim2 >  -0.56
|   |   |   |   |   |--- Dim2 <= -0.38
|   |   |   |   |   |   |--- class: Not Aware
|   |   |   |   |   |--- Dim2 >  -0.38
|   |   |   |   |   |   |--- class: Not Aware
|   |   |   |--- A5_ Hi-Sch Undergraduate >  0.50
|   |   |   |   |--- class: Aware
|   |   |--- Dim1 >  1.81
|   |   |   |--- Dim1 <= 3.05
|   |   |   |   |--- Dim2 <= -0.72
|   |   |   |   |   |--- class: Not Aware
|   |   |   |   |--- Dim2 >  -0.72
|   |   |   |   |   |--- Dim1 <= 1.99
|   |   |   |   |   |   |--- class: Aware
|   |   |   |   |   |--- Dim1 >  1.99
|   |   |   |   |   |   |--- class: Aware
|   |   |   |--- Dim1 >  3.05
|   |   |   |   |--- B1_No <= 0.50
|   |   |   |   |   |--- A5_ Hi-Sch Undergraduate <= 0.50
|   |   |   |   |   |   |--- class: Not Aware
|   |   |   |   |   |--- A5_ Hi-Sch Undergraduate >  0.50
|   |   |   |   |   |   |--- class: Aware
|   |   |   |   |--- B1_No >  0.50
|   |   |   |   |   |--- Dim2 <= -1.02
|   |   |   |   |   |   |--- class: Not Aware
|   |   |   |   |   |--- Dim2 >  -1.02
|   |   |   |   |   |   |--- class: Not Aware

Indicator Model Performance

Target Indicator Accuracy Precision Recall F1 ROC AUC
F1_FSSiv Older Persons / Senior Citizens Program 62.9% 95.5% 63.8% 76.5% 52.4%
F1_FSSiii PersonswithDisabilities (PWD)Welfare Program 63.0% 67.3% 85.6% 75.4% 50.7%
F1_FSSi ChildandYouthWelfareProgram 55.1% 88.7% 56.4% 69.0% 52.6%
F1_FSSv Family and Community Welfare Program 56.0% 62.8% 70.3% 66.3% 49.9%
F1_FSSvi Programs for Internally Displaced Persons 52.2% 53.0% 59.3% 56.0% 50.8%
F1_FSSii Women’s Welfare Program 42.8% 81.3% 37.2% 51.1% 53.8%